
Temperature has become a better predictor than rainfall of India’s farm sector-driven economic outcomes. And our heat problem worsens in El Niño years. As we enter a season of overlapping shocks, estimates for 2026-27 show the damage we can expect.

Amidst the backdrop of conflict in West Asia, India's economic landscape finds itself at a crossroads. Although the Reserve Bank of India projects a promising growth outlook, it highlights that increasing geopolitical strife could throw a wrench into the econ…